2 Stocks Predicted to Hit $4 Trillion Valuation by 2026

Jakarta, Pintu News – While Nvidia looks set to remain the only stock to surpass $5 trillion in market capitalization for at least another year, a number of other blue-chip stocks are almost certain to break the $4 trillion mark by 2026.

Specifically, at the time of writing on January 13, Microsoft (MSFTON) and Apple both have valuations between $3 trillion and $4 trillion, and both are strong candidates for a significant rally in the coming 12 months.

Microsoft Projected to Reach $4 Trillion Market Capitalization by 2026

With a share price at the time of writing of $475.57 and a market capitalization of $3.55 trillion, Microsoft is the most likely company in the world to break a valuation of over $4 trillion.

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Microsoft is playing an important role in the ongoing artificial intelligence boom. The company is behind the Copilot AI model, was an early supporter of OpenAI, as well as being a major cloud service provider through the Microsoft Azure platform.

In addition, Microsoft has a track record of strong financial performance, with annual financial reports consistently showing revenue growth each year.

For example, between 2022 and 2023 – the first year of the current AI growth wave – Microsoft’s revenue increased to $211.9 billion. While in the 12-month period ending September 30, 2025, its revenue was recorded at an impressive $293.8 billion.

Wall Street analysts are also watching the potential of this leading technology stock. Based on data from TipRanks quoted by Finbold on January 13, analysts on average project a share price increase of 32.31% in the next 12 months, to $631.36.

MSFT shares are also considered attractive to invest in January 2026, given the downward trend that began in October of the previous year, from around $542 to the current $475.57.

Microsoft’s Bear Case Scenario in 2026

While Microsoft’s growth prospects look promising, there are still a number of things to watch out for. Much of the company’s growth projections rely on the belief that the AI boom will continue.

While many analysts believe this trend will continue, others highlight risks such as the huge mismatch between the amount of investment being poured in and the scale of revenue being generated by the AI sector today.

In addition, President Donald Trump’s recent pledge to charge data center operators more for electricity could be an additional risk for Microsoft, given the company’s reliance on cloud services like Azure that require large energy infrastructure.

On the other hand, the bad reputation of the Windows 11 operating system also makes Microsoft more vulnerable to AI-related turmoil. Windows used to be a key pillar in the company’s business model, and although it’s not the only one now, the operating system remains an important element in maintaining Microsoft’s product ecosystem.

Apple Projected to Reach $4 Trillion Market Capitalization by 2026

Apple may even be in a stronger position than its old rivals to break the $4 trillion market capitalization barrier. At the time of writing, the company’s valuation already stands at $3.85 trillion – meaning it only needs a rise of around 4% to cross that threshold.

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In addition, the flagship stock has managed to break out of previous obstacles, such as its now-abandoned electric car (EV) project, as well as its lag in the initial wave of AI. Apple is now in a solid position to continue its growth.

One important catalyst in early 2026 was a strategic deal focused on artificial intelligence with Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) – the only company besides Nvidia that has a valuation above $4 trillion today.

Under the agreement, Google AI technology will become the foundation for “Apple Foundation Models” in the next few years.

Like Microsoft, Apple (AAPL) shares have also been on a downward trend in recent weeks – from around $286 in early December to $259.21 on January 13.

However, data from TipRanks cited by Finbold shows that Wall Street analysts are very optimistic about Apple stock, with an average projected gain of 15.16% in the next 12 months.

If this price target is achieved, Apple’s valuation will touch around $4.4 trillion.

Apple Stock Bear Case Scenario in 2026

Just like Microsoft, Apple also potentially faces risks related to the development of AI as well as possible changes in data center electricity costs that have been hinted at by President Trump.

However, unlike Microsoft, Apple’s operating system (OS) business is the beneficiary, along with Linux, of the exodus of some Windows users – a trend that gives Apple a net gain in strengthening its ecosystem.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Finbold. These Stocks Are Set to Hit $4 Trillion Market Cap in 2026. Accessed on January 15, 2026